Predictions point towards a return to normalcy in the Australian tourism industry. This forecast, made early into the year, is based on the country recording its strongest growth in overseas arrivals since 2005.
Indeed last year saw the Australian tourism industry suffer its sharpest decline in total tourist consumption since the 2003 SARS outbreak. A turnaround in 2010 is therefore expected in that the value of the tourism industry to the economy is set to increase by 3% to AUD 92 billion. Overseas arrivals to Australia has been fuelled significantly by strong growth from the U.S and Chinese markets, and where this growth is expected to rise 4.3% after performing above expectations during the GFC. Domestic tourism, which was hit by a 5.4% decline in 2009, is on the other hand, expected to pull out of its slump this year and grow in value by 2.9%. According to the chair of the Tourism Forecasting Committee, Bernard Salt, a solid recovery of 4.3% is a good figure for the new year, given the strong growth out of the US and China for 2010.
Given the trend, international travel to Australia is expected to rise 4.9% in 2011 and 4.7% in 2012, thanks to the global economic recovery and a release of pent-up demand. Outbound tourism will still, on the flip side, continue to outstrip inbound arrivals due to factors associated with cheap airfares and the rising value of the Australian dollar, a trend that began in 2008 and is expected to remain as such for at least a decade.
